Buochs vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BUO
2 - 2
STG
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
BUO
0 - 7
BAD
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GCB
7 - 0
BUO
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
BUO
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BUO
2 - 1
DEL
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 2
NEX
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 2
THU
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 2
THU
45%
25%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 4
THU
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |