Buochs vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 2
ESC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 0
BUO
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BUO
5 - 0
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
BUO
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 2
BUO
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GOL
2 - 2
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
SIO
8%
16%
77%
|
22 | 78 | 56 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |