Buochs vs Unterstrass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
22
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
BUO
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BUO
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 1
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
SCE
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
BUO
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
FCU
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 0
FCU
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 3
FCU
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |