Buochs vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 1
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 2
ESC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 0
BUO
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BUO
5 - 0
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
BUO
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 1
FCS
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
RUS
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 4
FCS
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 1
GOL
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 1
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |