Buochs vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
BUO
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 3
LSS
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 1
BUO
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUO
3 - 0
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VED
0 - 5
BUO
12%
17%
72%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 3
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCB
50%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
VED
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |