Buochs vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
46
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 5
BUO
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
FCS
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 4
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
BUO
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
RSZ
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZUG
2 - 4
BRU
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 2
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |