Buochs vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
3 - 1
BUO
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 1
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
BUO
22%
20%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
YOB
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | +2 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
ZOF
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KUS
1 - 1
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |