Bunyodkor vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
14º
13º
29
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOG
4 - 0
BUN
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUN
3 - 2
FKL
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 0
BUN
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 2
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BUN
7 - 0
FKJ
90%
8%
2%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 0
OLM
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
NEF
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
AND
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |