Bulls Academy vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
85.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
65
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulls Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 0
BUA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 1
SYD
5%
10%
85%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 0
BUA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MDT
2 - 1
BUA
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
BUA
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
SUT
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
API
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 2
SYD
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 2
API
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
API
3 - 0
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |