CAF Champions 1/16
Global 3-2
Big Bullets vs Fomboni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOM
0 - 1
BUL
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 3
BUL
55%
25%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUL
1 - 0
MOY
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AZT
0 - 2
BUL
51%
27%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BUL
3 - 1
KUN
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fomboni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOM
0 - 1
BUL
22%
26%
52%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |