CD Bullense vs Aguilas FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
17º
15º
38
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Bullense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BUL
0 - 2
LOR
13%
19%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
4 - 0
BUL
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
BUL
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 1
UCA
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
IMP
4 - 0
BUL
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aguilas FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
AFC
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
5 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 1
AFC
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AFC
53%
23%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
MIN
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |