Bulleen Lions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
0 - 2
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BUL
0 - 1
RIC
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AVH
3 - 2
BUL
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
BUL
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 1
NOR
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
RIC
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 2
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 4
SOU
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
AVH
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |