Bulleen Lions vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
BUL
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
BUL
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 2
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
BUL
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
HEU
4 - 1
POR
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 6
HEU
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HEU
3 - 0
AVH
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
HEU
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HEU
1 - 0
PAS
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |