UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Bulgaria U21 vs Yugoslavia 21s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
YUG
2 - 0
BGR
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
GRC
0 - 2
BGR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1989 |
BGR
2 - 0
GRC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1989 |
ROU
2 - 1
BGR
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1989 |
BGR
6 - 0
DEN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
YUG
2 - 0
BGR
29%
28%
43%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1989 |
YUG
0 - 1
NOR
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
YUG
4 - 1
SCO
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | +3 |
| 13 Jun. 1989 |
NOR
0 - 1
YUG
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1989 |
FRA
0 - 1
YUG
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +2 |