Bulgaria U21 vs Luxembourg U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 0
BGR
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 1
NED
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 0
MKD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
GRC
2 - 1
BGR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LUX
1 - 5
SCO
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
23 | 74 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
1 - 4
AUT
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 6
EST
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 6
AUT
16%
21%
64%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | 0 |