Bulgaria U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 2
GHA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
3 - 4
ISR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
0 - 1
AUT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BGR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ROU
1 - 1
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
KAZ
0 - 2
MNE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BGR
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ISR
1 - 1
KAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
KAZ
3 - 0
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |