Bulgaria U21 vs Wales U21 analysis

Bulgaria U21 Wales U21
57 ELO 55
-13.7% Tilt -8.6%
16944º General ELO ranking 17692º
103º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
49.8%
Bulgaria U21
25.3%
Draw
24.9%
Wales U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
Bulgaria U21
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
Wales U21
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bulgaria U21
-17%
+5%
Wales U21

ELO progression

Bulgaria U21
Wales U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bulgaria U21
Bulgaria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2021
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 2
Bulgaria U21
BGR
14%
21%
65%
58 44 14 0
08 Jun. 2021
BGR
Bulgaria U21
4 - 0
Albania U21
ALB
42%
25%
33%
57 53 4 +1
03 Jun. 2021
BGR
Bulgaria U21
0 - 1
Russia U21
RUS
17%
20%
63%
57 67 10 0
29 Mar. 2021
MKD
North Macedonia U21
5 - 1
Bulgaria U21
BGR
37%
26%
38%
59 56 3 -2
26 Mar. 2021
BGR
Bulgaria U21
3 - 1
Kazakhstan U21
KAZ
66%
21%
13%
58 45 13 +1

Matches

Wales U21
Wales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
WAL
Wales U21
0 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
64%
20%
16%
53 43 10 0
26 Mar. 2021
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 2
Ireland U21
IRL
38%
25%
37%
54 58 4 -1
17 Nov. 2020
GER
Germany U21
2 - 1
Wales U21
WAL
84%
12%
4%
54 81 27 0
13 Nov. 2020
WAL
Wales U21
3 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
67%
20%
13%
54 44 10 0
09 Oct. 2020
BEL
Belgium U21
5 - 0
Wales U21
WAL
72%
18%
10%
55 69 14 -1