Bulgaria U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
KOS
2 - 2
BGR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
1 - 1
KOS
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
2 - 3
GER
4%
11%
85%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BGR
1 - 0
ISR
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
BGR
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 81 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
POL
6%
13%
81%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
BGR
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
KOS
2 - 0
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |