Bulgaria U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
UKR
0 - 3
BGR
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
MLT
1 - 1
BGR
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
BGR
1 - 3
ISL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SWE
2 - 0
BGR
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 2
SYM
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
HUN
2 - 2
CRO
34%
24%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 0
SWE
46%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |