Bulgaria U19 vs Luxembourg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 5
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
UKR
5 - 1
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ISR
2 - 1
BGR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 0
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CYP
1 - 2
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BLR
2 - 2
LUX
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 8
ENG
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
LUX
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |