Bulgaria U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BGR
1 - 3
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
ISR
3 - 1
BGR
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
BGR
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ESP
4 - 0
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 2
NIR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
SRB
3 - 1
NIR
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CYP
1 - 1
NIR
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 2
SVK
15%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |