Bulgaria U19 vs Scotland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
TUR
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
0 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
AZE
0 - 1
BGR
34%
25%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BGR
0 - 2
IRL
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BGR
0 - 1
MNE
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 3
FRA
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
5 - 2
KAZ
83%
12%
4%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
ISL
1 - 0
SCO
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 1
ISR
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HUN
3 - 0
SCO
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |