BUL FC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
OND
0 - 0
BUL
44%
30%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
BUL
2 - 0
KYE
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BUL
1 - 1
BRI
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
VIP
2 - 1
BUL
63%
24%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SOA
1 - 2
BUL
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MCF
0 - 0
BRI
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SOA
1 - 0
MCF
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
URA
0 - 0
MCF
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MCF
1 - 2
MFC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
MCF
48%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |