Buitenpost vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BUI
1 - 5
NSC
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HZV
3 - 1
BUI
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BUI
0 - 4
FLE
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BUI
2 - 0
ONS
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 0
BUI
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 1
ACH
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
4 - 3
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 0
HOO
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOZ
5 - 1
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |