Bugesera vs Rayon Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
16º
13º
61
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APR
2 - 1
BUG
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BUG
2 - 1
POL
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 1
MUK
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KIY
1 - 0
BUG
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BUG
3 - 0
RFC
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rayon Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 4
POL
49%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 1
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 0
ETI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 2
RAY
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |