Bugesera vs Gorilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
BUG
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 3
APR
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
GFC
3 - 2
BUG
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BUG
1 - 3
POL
24%
28%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -5 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUG
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gorilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2021 |
MUH
1 - 2
GFC
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GFC
2 - 1
MUH
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
GFC
3 - 2
BUG
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MUH
0 - 0
GFC
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -5 |