Bugesera vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
3 - 1
BUG
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
BUG
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 1
ASK
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUG
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
BUG
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ETI
0 - 0
RFC
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
ETI
3 - 1
MUS
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
KIY
1 - 0
ETI
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ETI
4 - 0
MUH
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
ETI
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |