Bugesera vs Espoir FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
EDE
0 - 1
BUG
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 1
APR
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BUG
3 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
BUG
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 2
MUK
38%
29%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Espoir FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 1
RFC
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 2
ESP
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 1
ESP
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ETI
2 - 0
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |