Bugesera vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUG
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
BUG
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 3
APR
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 1
BUG
47%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
BUG
2 - 1
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASK
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ASK
4 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 2
ASK
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ASK
1 - 1
APR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASK
3 - 1
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |