Buelna vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BEZ
2 - 0
BUE
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BUE
0 - 2
ESC
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
BUE
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BUE
0 - 1
SIE
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
BUE
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARE
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GAM
0 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 2
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAY
3 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
GIM
12%
21%
67%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |