Budućnost vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
2º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 2
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 0
JED
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
BUD
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
SUT
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
IKD
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PET
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
JED
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |