Budućnost vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GRB
1 - 2
BUD
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUD
3 - 1
LOV
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 0
BUD
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 1
BUD
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
BUD
0 - 2
SLA
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
FKC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PET
0 - 0
MOG
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 3
MLA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
SUT
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BOK
0 - 5
MOG
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |