Budissa Bautzen vs Wacker Gotha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BUD
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUD
2 - 1
BDR
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
SAC
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VFL
0 - 4
BUD
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Wacker Gotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 1
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAG
2 - 1
ZWI
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WAG
1 - 4
AUE
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 1
WAG
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WAG
4 - 1
VFL
24%
24%
53%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +4 |