Budissa Bautzen vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 0
BUD
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BUD
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BUD
3 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
BUD
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZWI
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHE
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUE
2 - 1
LUC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
FCH
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DYN
4 - 2
LUC
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |