Budissa Bautzen vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
BUD
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WAG
0 - 1
BUD
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BUD
2 - 0
GRU
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUD
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
BUD
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 4
VFL
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BGL
1 - 5
ERZ
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 3
DYN
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 0
EIN
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |