Champions League Last 16
Global 11-1
Budapesti Vasas vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
VAS
8 - 1
DUN
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
DUN
0 - 1
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1966 |
VAS
0 - 2
INT
31%
23%
45%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
INT
2 - 1
VAS
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
SCP
0 - 2
VAS
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
JEU
3 - 3
VAL
45%
21%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
2 - 0
FRA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 1
JEU
64%
17%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
4 - 2
KEF
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1967 |
IBA
2 - 1
VAL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |