Europa League 1/16
Global 4-3
Budapesti Vasas vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
VAS
4 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
LIN
2 - 0
VAS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 0
VAS
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
VAS
0 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1971 |
VAS
1 - 0
STJ
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
67%
19%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLI
88%
9%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SCP
2 - 1
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |