Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Budapesti Vasas vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 5
VAS
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
VAS
6 - 0
VAL
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
VAS
8 - 1
DUN
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
DUN
0 - 1
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1966 |
VAS
0 - 2
INT
31%
23%
45%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SLB
7 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SLB
8 - 2
FCB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
VIT
0 - 4
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |