UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Budapest Honved vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
1 - 2
BUD
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
DVS
2 - 1
BUD
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BUD
4 - 1
TAT
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
BUD
0 - 7
DVS
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
NYI
3 - 0
BUD
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
2 - 3
FCI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
1 - 2
BUD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2008 |
KAI
3 - 1
ZHE
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
2 - 0
OKZ
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 1
ZHE
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |