UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
Budapest Honved vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
BUD
3 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
BUD
2 - 0
DVS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BUD
1 - 1
SZO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
SOP
3 - 3
BUD
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
GYO
2 - 2
BUD
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
FBK
2 - 0
ZAL
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
0 - 1
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
FKE
0 - 0
ZAL
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
2 - 1
INK
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2002 |
ZAL
2 - 0
GEV
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |