Europa League 1/16
Global 4-2
Budapest Honved vs Politehnica Timisoara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ADA
2 - 2
BUD
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
BUD
6 - 0
ADA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BUD
2 - 3
SHA
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BUD
1 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Timisoara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
TIM
1 - 2
FCO
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
TIM
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
TIM
0 - 2
GLO
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
MTK
2 - 1
TIM
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
TIM
0 - 1
FCM
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |