Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
Budapest Honved vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
BUD
1 - 1
BOH
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BOH
1 - 2
BUD
50%
21%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
RCH
5 - 0
BUD
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
BUD
2 - 0
RCH
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
BUD
3 - 2
LPL
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
SGD
5 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
53%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
SGD
4 - 1
ASA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
SGD
5 - 0
CHL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
2 - 2
SGD
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |