Budapest Honved vs Paksi SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
49
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FHV
4 - 0
BUD
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZTE
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
NKV
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
4 - 0
NKN
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Paksi SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 2
PAK
25%
22%
54%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAK
2 - 0
FHV
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PAK
2 - 0
PEC
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PAK
2 - 1
KOZ
90%
7%
2%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SIG
2 - 3
PAK
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |