Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Budapest Honved vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LAR
2 - 0
BUD
27%
24%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BUD
0 - 2
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
BUD
1 - 0
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SCP
0 - 2
BUD
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LAR
2 - 0
BUD
27%
24%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |