Europa League 1/16
Global 3-5
Budapest Honved vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 0
LAR
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LAR
2 - 0
BUD
27%
24%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BUD
0 - 2
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
BUD
1 - 0
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HKS
1 - 0
FCU
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
4 - 0
HKS
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 1
GIR
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | +1 |