Europa League 1/16
Global 2-6
Budapest Honved vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BUD
1 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
INT
0 - 1
BUD
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
SGD
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
BUD
2 - 2
SGD
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
SHA
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |