Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
Budapest Honved vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
3 - 1
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUD
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BUD
0 - 0
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
BUD
1 - 2
DUK
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
DUK
2 - 3
BUD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
3 - 0
HIB
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
KIL
0 - 4
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
3 - 1
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
DUN
1 - 2
ABE
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |