Budaörsi vs III. Kerületi TVE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
10º
4º
14
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 65 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 63 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 56 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 39 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 30 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 21 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budaörsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SSE
1 - 2
BUD
10%
13%
77%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 4
BUD
12%
17%
72%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
FCH
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ODR
1 - 1
BUD
45%
23%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
BUD
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
III. Kerületi TVE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
III
3 - 1
BSC
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
III
4 - 5
UJP
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
III
3 - 3
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
III
10%
17%
72%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
III
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |