Bucknell Bison vs Lafayette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points