Buckley Town vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
11º
8º
30
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
PRE
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 4
BUC
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
3 - 2
GRE
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 1
BUC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 1
BUC
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
HOL
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |